PhET/C3/Curve-Fitting/English-timed

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Time Narration
00:01 Welcome to this tutorial on Curve Fitting.
00:05 In this tutorial, we will demonstrate Curve Fitting PhET simulation.
00:12 Here I am using, Ubuntu Linux OS version 16.04
00:21 Java version 1.8.0
00:25 Firefox Web Browser version 60.0.2
00:31 The learner should be familiar with topics in high school mathematics.
00:37 Using this simulation we will look at, Lines
00:43 Quadratic polynomials
00:46 Cubic polynomials
00:49 Quartic polynomials
00:52 Reduced chi squared statistic and correlation coefficient r squared
00:59 Let us begin.
01:01 Use the given link to download the simulation.
01:06 I have already downloaded the Curve Fitting simulation to my Downloads folder.
01:13 To open the jar file, open the terminal.
01:17 At the terminal prompt, type cd Downloads and press Enter.
01:27 Type java space hyphen jar space curve hyphen fitting underscore en dot jar.

Press Enter.

01:42 The File opens in the browser in html format.
01:48 This is the interface of the Curve Fitting simulation.
01:53 Observe the Help button, the Functions box and the Data Points bucket in the first quadrant.
02:02 In the Functions box, Linear and Best Fit radio buttons are default selections.
02:11 Let us click the Help button.
02:15 A legend for draggable error bars appears in the first quadrant.
02:21 The data points can be pulled out or put in the bucket.
02:28 In the fourth quadrant, Best Fit equation is seen with the display boxes for a and b.
02:37 The equation is y equals a plus bx. Below the display boxes is the correlation coefficient r squared.
02:49 In the 2nd and 3rd quadrants is a scale for the reduced chi squared statistic.
02:56 The formula for the chi squared statistic is given in the Help box.
03:02 Below the formula, we see the conditions for fit.
03:08 Good or very good fit of data with the equation is seen with a chi squared statistic of or below 1.
03:19 Let us click on Hide Help to hide these boxes.
03:24 Drag three data points out of the bucket.

Place them at -10 comma -4, -4 comma 4, and 5 comma 10.

03:40 Placing the mouse on them will show their co-ordinates.
03:45 Note that the equation for the best fit line drawn is y equals 6.07 plus 0.912 x.
03:57 The correlation coefficient r squared for the best fit line is 0.9616.
04:06 The closer the r squared value is to 1, the better is the prediction of variance in y from x.
04:14 Note that the reduced chi squared statistic is 6.74. The bar is red.
04:24 Click on Help and note that this means that the fit is poor. Again click on hide Help.
04:35 Let us drag another data point and place it at 0 comma 11 on the y axis.
04:44 Note that the best fit line becomes y equals 7.51 plus 1.004 x.
04:55 The slope of the best fit line has increased slightly from 0.912 to 1.004.
05:03 The y intercept has also increased from 6.07 to 7.51.
05:10 The data point 0 comma 11 is further away from the best fit line than the other points.
05:18 Note how the r squared value decreases from 0.9616 to 0.8529.
05:28 The prediction of variance in y from x with this equation has become less reliable.
05:35 Note also how the reduced chi squared statistic has increased from 6.74 to 18.66.
05:45 Drag the data point from 0 comma 11 to 0 comma 6.
05:53 Note how the equation becomes y equals 6.05 plus 0.911 x.
06:03 The r squared value increases to 0.9635, the reduced chi squared statistic falls to 3.37.
06:15 Drag the data point from -4 comma 4 to -4 comma 3.5.
06:24 The r squared value increases to 0.9772.
06:30 The reduced chi squared statistic falls to 2.12.

The bar now becomes green.

06:39 Click on Help; the green zone shows good fit.
06:45 Click on Hide Help.
06:48 A true best fit line explains all the data and gives a good prediction of y values from x values.
06:58 Click Adjustable Fit radio button. Drag sliders a and b to values close to 0.
07:08 Observe how this erases the line drawn earlier.
07:13 A line parallel to the x axis is seen.
07:18 Slider a and b values will be displayed in the boxes.
07:24 The data points are still where we placed them.

But the reduced chi square statistic is very high and in the red zone.

07:35 The r squared value is 0, meaning poor correlation.
07:41 Click Best Fit radio button again.
07:45 Note down the values for a and b (5.94 and 0.918).
07:53 Again, click Adjustable Fit radio button. Now drag sliders a and b from end to end.
08:04 Observe the effects of these changes on the line. Drag slider a to 6 and b to 0.97.
08:16 The line looks like the best fit line we saw earlier.

Note r squared and the reduced chi squared statistic.

08:28 Check Show deviations and click Best Fit.
08:35 The vertical lines from the data points to the best fit line show the deviations from the line.
08:43 Drag the data points at -4 comma 3.5 and 0 comma 6 into the bucket.

Note how the line now passes through the two points.

08:59 R squared approaches 1 and the reduced chi squared statistic becomes 0.
09:06 The fit has become too good because a line is defined by two points.
09:13 Without a third point, there is no question of the line being anything but the best fit line.
09:20 Now, we will look at some information for you to graph a quadratic polynomial.
09:27 Quadratic polynomials are of the form y equals a plus bx plus c x squared.
09:36 The degree of the polynomial is 2, hence, it is called quadratic.
09:44 The function can have a maximum of 2 roots.
09:48 Drag and place data points at the following co-ordinates.

-9 comma 10, -7 comma 2, 2.5 comma -2.5 and 5 comma 10

10:03 Note the r squared and reduced chi squared statistic values.
10:09 Also, click Adjustable Fit and see effects of a, b, c on the fit.
10:17 This is what the best fit graph for this quadratic polynomial will look like.
10:25 Cubic polynomials

Now, we will look at some information for you to graph a cubic polynomial.

10:33 Note the r squared and reduced chi squared statistic values.
10:39 This is what the best fit graph for this cubic polynomial will look like.
10:46 Quartic polynomials

Now, we will look at some information for you to graph a quartic polynomial.

10:55 Note the r squared and reduced chi squared statistic values.
11:01 This is what the best fit graph for this quartic polynomial will look like.
11:08 As an assignment, Change the data points and their number.
11:14 Follow the steps shown earlier to get best fit graphs for all the polynomials.
11:20 In this tutorial, we have demonstrated the Curve Fitting PhET simulation
11:27 Using this simulation, we have looked at:

Lines

Quadratic polynomials

Cubic polynomials

Quartic polynomials

Reduced chi square statistic χr2 and correlation coefficient r2

11:49 The video at the following link summarizes the Spoken Tutorial project.

Please download and watch it

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For more details, please write to us.

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12:24 Spoken Tutorial Project is funded by NMEICT, MHRD, Government of India.

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12:37 This is Vidhya Iyer from IIT Bombay signing off.

Thank you for joining.

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